Hurricane Rafael has formed in the Caribbean and was headed to western Cuba and the Gulf of Mexico. Where will the rare November hurricane go next?

Tropical systems become less frequent in November because of less favorable atmospheric conditions. Additionally, storms that do develop find it more challenging to make landfall in the U.S. because cold fronts become more common during this time. These cold fronts can steer storms away from the East Coast or keep them confined to the Caribbean.

Tropical Storm Rafael is set to become a hurricane near the Cayman Islands on Tuesday night before reaching Cuba.